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Project Citation: 

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary We show that in an open-economy OLG model, the interaction between growth differentials and household credit constraints—more severe in fast-growing countries—can explain three prominent global trends: a divergence in private saving rates between advanced and emerging economies, large net capital outflows from the latter, and a sustained decline in the world interest rate. Micro-level evidence on the evolution of age-saving profiles in the US and China corroborates our mechanism. Quantitatively, our model explains about a third of the divergence in aggregate saving rates, and a significant portion of the variations in age-saving profiles across countries and over time. (JEL E21, E22, F21, F32, F41, O16, P24)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      F21 International Investment • Long-Term Capital Movements
      F41 Open Economy Macroeconomics
      O16 Financial Markets • Saving and Capital Investment • Corporate Finance and Governance
      F32 Current Account Adjustment • Short-Term Capital Movements
      E21 Consumption • Saving • Wealth
      E22 Investment • Capital • Intangible Capital • Capacity
      P24 National Income, Product, and Expenditure • Money • Inflation


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