Replication data for: The Long-Run Effect of Mexican Immigration on Crime in US Cities: Evidence from Variation in Mexican Fertility Rates

Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Aaron Chalfin

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Project Citation:

Project Description

Summary: Using historical data on the size of state-specific Mexican birth cohorts and geographic migration networks between Mexican states and US metropolitan areas, I construct an instrumental variable that predicts decadal migration from Mexico to the United States. The intuition behind this identification strategy is that larger historical birth cohorts in Mexico yield more potential migrants once each birth cohort reaches prime migration age. I report evidence that Mexican immigration is associated with a decline in property crimes and an increase in aggravated assaults. The available evidence suggests that this is not an artifact of reduced crime reporting among immigrants.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:
      K42 Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
      O15 Human Resources • Human Development • Income Distribution • Migration
      J13 Fertility • Family Planning • Child Care • Children • Youth
      R23 Regional Migration • Regional Labor Markets • Population • Neighborhood Characteristics
      J15 Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants • Non-labor Discrimination

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Published Versions

V1 [2019-08-03]

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