Name File Type Size Last Modified
  AEJMac2008-0051_data 08/03/2019 06:08:AM
LICENSE.txt text/plain 14.6 KB 08/03/2019 02:08:AM

Project Citation: 

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary We examine the role of expectations in the Great Moderation episode. We derive theoretical restrictions in a New-Keynesian model and test them using measures of expectations obtained from survey data, the Greenbook and bond markets. Expectations explain the dynamics of inflation and interest rates but their importance is roughly unchanged over time. Systems with and without expectations display similar reduced form characteristics. Results are robust to changes in the structure of the empirical model. (JEL E23, E24, E31, E32)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      E24 Employment • Unemployment • Wages • Intergenerational Income Distribution • Aggregate Human Capital • Aggregate Labor Productivity
      E31 Price Level • Inflation • Deflation
      E23 Production
      E32 Business Fluctuations • Cycles


Related Publications

Published Versions

Export Metadata

Report a Problem

Found a serious problem with the data, such as disclosure risk or copyrighted content? Let us know.

This material is distributed exactly as it arrived from the data depositor. ICPSR has not checked or processed this material. Users should consult the investigator(s) if further information is desired.